Tom Coghlan in Kabul and Michael Evans, Defence Editor
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The departing commander of British forces in Afghanistan says he believes the Taleban will never be defeated.
Brigadier Mark Carleton-Smith, the commander of 16 Air Assault Brigade, whose troops have suffered severe casualties after six months of tough fighting, will hand over to 3 Commando Brigade Royal Marines this month.
He told The Times that in his opinion, a military victory over the Taleban was “neither feasible nor supportable”.
“What we need is sufficient troops to contain the insurgency to a level where it is not a strategic threat to the longevity of the elected Government,” he said.
The brigadier said that his troops had “taken the sting out of the Taleban” during clashes in Helmand province in southern Afghanistan, but at a heavy cost. His brigade suffered 32 killed and 170 injured during its six-month tour of duty. The 2nd Battalion the Parachute Regiment alone lost 11 soldiers, most of them killed by roadside bombs or other explosive devices.
The brigadier’s grim prognosis follows a leaked cable by François Fitou, the deputy French Ambassador in Kabul, claiming that Sir Sherard Cowper-Coles, the British Ambassador, had told him the strategy for Afghanistan was “doomed to failure”.
In the cable, Mr Fitou told President Sarkozy that Sir Sherard believed “the security situation is getting worse, so is corruption and the Government has lost all trust”. He said Sir Sherard had told him Britain had no alternative but to support the US, “but we should tell them that we want to be part of a winning strategy, not a losing one. The American strategy is doomed to fail.”
Brigadier Carleton-Smith admitted that it had been “a turbulent summer” but he said that the Taleban were “riven with deep fissures and fractures”.
He added: “However, the Taleban, tactically, is reasonably resilient, certainly quite dangerous and seems relatively impervious to losses. Its potency is as a force for influence.”
He indicated that the only way forward was to find a political solution that would include the Taleban. The Government of President Karzai has launched a reconciliation programme, although the hard core of Taleban commanders is thought to be implacably opposed to any compromise. Efforts are being focused on the so-called “tier-two” and “tier-three” Taleban, who are perceived to be less ideologically intransigent.
The brigadier said that in the areas where the Government had no control, the Afghan population was “vulnerable to a shifting coalition of Taleban, mad mullahs and marauding militias”. In other areas, however, progress was being made and children were going back to school. “We are trying to deliver sufficient security for a degree of normalisation,” he said.
The British commander said that more foreign trainers were needed to help to build up the competence of the Afghan National Army. He suggested that they would be provided by the Americans. He said that there had been a government vacuum for 30 years, and even now the central Government in Kabul did not view Helmand as a key province. He said that in some areas the Afghan people were now beginning to shift their allegiance towards traditional power structures “rather than the shadowy and illegal structures” of the Taleban and the warlords.
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The war on terrorism is not winnable. It is another" Big Lie" The country will not be pacified. The Taliban is a force that we cannot defeat because they call the shots when,where and how the war will be fought. It's like trying to kill a mosquito with a bulldozer
Lew Banelis, Fitchburg, U.S.A
We can never defeat an IDEA militarily, and the Taliban and Wahabbi Jihadism is at its heart an idea. We must bring a workable political and economic alternative to the conflict if we are to reduce the pool of discontent the radicals recruit from. Thank you, Brigadier, for your honesty.
Geoff Tudor, Sequim, WA, USA
The reasons why we cannot win are quite simple. Totally inadequate numbers on the ground. Try a quarter of a million men ! Where are the logistics coming from ? Who dares to start destroying poppy crops ? Where are all the Aid agencies necessary to "follow up". Initial timescale say 3-5 years
Tom Scarff, Phuket, Thailand
General should kep their opinion to themselves or only give them to their superiors,..it really shows a lack of concern for moral to have a defeatest outlook.
Jonathan, Ohio, USA
I find it most interesting that when the Russians were in Afghanistan the American's found the Taliban to be most useful allies whom they armed, they had no trouble having dialogue with their leaders then. I suggest we should initiate discussions with those same leaders and end the war graciously.
Eric, Waverley, Canada
Honesty like this is praiseworthy but it's only a first step.
The main point is that the Afghans will never acquiesce to any foreign occupation. That has to be the starting point of any solution.
Richard Cheeseman, Wellington, Aotearoa/NZ
Your not fighting an organization. You are fighting a religious and social movement.
You will need to give the people of those lands an alternative to improving there life.
The people don't trust there government. That's the problem.
langx, Philadelphia, USA
Maybe it's not possible resolve this war but you now owe it to the Afgan people and parliament to keep bases here. If everyone just pulls out now these terrorists will kill the ruling government and return to being an evil force.
Richard, Bristol, UK
Finally. The truth. And now that we have the truth from a qualified person fighting on the front lines, let's deal with the truth and stop the bloodshed once and for all.
Charlie Patrick, Toronto, Ontario
It may be difficult to win in Afghanistan, since the Taliban, for the moment, can retreat to Pakistan, and hide there, and, as well, since the United States, let alone its allies, is not willing to commit massive resources (i.e. conscription) to the battle.
John Savard, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
How do you put an incompetent in charge of this strategy? You should get a Colombian or a Peruvian police or army strategist in counterterrorism, they will get the job done..with a political, social and military strategy against this Taliban terrorist. The defeat of Shining Path terrorism proves it
Jose, Valencia,
"Never" is a very long time, Brigadier. It's okay to voice your private views while in a washroom where no notebooks, tape recorders or video cams are to be found. However, it is irresponsible to do so when being formally identified as a spokesperson for a government. Never? How short-sighted!
D Samuelson, Salt Lake City, Utah,
Don 't Tell John McCain.... He's not in Washington, he's in Denial.
Chuck, Exton, USA
What kind of attitude is this. Winston Churchill will roll over in his grave. Brigadier Mark Carleton-Smith, needs to change careers.
Fred, Moreno Valley, USA
I am an American with a vote in the US presidential election. I expect Barack Obama to win, and that he will either come up with a winning strategy or get us all out of Afghanistan. I intend to vote for him. It's a tragedy that so many British troops are dying due to the decisions of the US.
Bill Larson, Tacoma, Washington State, USA